The planned visit by Manmohan Singh, the first by an Indian
prime minister in more than a decade, puts into sharp relief the
sanctions-easing strategies by Iran — and the political complexities for
Washington that limit its pressure on Asian powers needing Tehran's oil. Tehran
tries to offset the squeeze from Western oil sanctions by courting
energy-hungry Asian markets.
Oil purchases by India, China and South Korea — which
decided to resume Iranian imports — have not covered Tehran's losses after it
was tossed out of the European market in July. But they have given Iran a
critical cushion that brings in tens of millions of dollars in revenue a day
and means that Iran has dropped only one ranking, to stand as OPEC's
third-largest producer.
The U.S. has pressed hard for Iran's top customers — China,
India, Japan and South Korea — to scale back on crude imports, with some
success, offering in return exemptions from possible American penalties. But
Washington cannot push its key Asian trading partners too fast or too
aggressively and risk economic rifts. Still, it's clear the U.S. is unwilling
to risk trade wars with key Asian trading partners, even over the showdown with
Iran.
For Iran, however, there's a parallel fight: Trying to keep
the oil flowing to its key Asian customers, possibly through deals to sell at
below-market prices.
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